Who will probably win in the war between Pakistan and Iran?

Predicting the outcome of a hypothetical war between Pakistan and Iran is complex and depends on various factors, including military strength, economic conditions, and external support. Here's a comparison of their military capabilities and other relevant factors:

Military Strength Comparison

• Active Personnel: Pakistan has approximately 654,000 active military personnel, while Iran has about 610,0003.
• Reserve Personnel: Pakistan has more reserve personnel than Iran, with around 550,000 compared to Iran's 350,00013.
• Air Force: Pakistan has a stronger air force with 1,434 aircraft, including 387 fighter jets, whereas Iran has 551 aircraft with 186 fighter jets3.
• Ground Forces: Pakistan has more tanks (3,742) and fewer armored vehicles (50,523) compared to Iran's 1,996 tanks and 65,765 armored vehicles3.
• Navy: Pakistan's naval fleet is slightly larger, with 114 units compared to Iran's 101, though neither has aircraft carriers3.

Economic Factors

• Defence Budget: Iran has a higher defence budget of $9.95 billion compared to Pakistan's $6.34 billion3.
• Economic Stability: Pakistan is facing significant economic challenges, which could impact its ability to sustain a prolonged conflict without external financial support2.

External Support

• International Backing: Pakistan's relations with the US and other Western countries could provide potential support, while Iran might receive backing from Russia or China2.

Conclusion

Given these factors, Pakistan might have a slight advantage in terms of military strength and potential external support. However, Iran's stronger economy and strategic geopolitical position could counterbalance these advantages. Ultimately, the outcome would depend on how each country leverages its strengths and manages its weaknesses during a conflict. Additionally, the involvement of other global powers could significantly influence the outcome.

It's also important to note that both countries face internal challenges and external pressures that make a full-scale war unlikely without significant escalation. Diplomatic efforts and regional dynamics will play crucial roles in determining the trajectory of their conflict.