What are the chances that the original members of Guns and Roses will ever reunite?

The chances of a full reunion of the original members of Guns N' Roses are highly unlikely based on the current information and past developments.

Here are some key points that support this conclusion:

Original Members Not Involved

The reunion that started in 2016, known as the "Not In This Lifetime" tour, only featured Axl Rose, Slash, and Duff McKagan from the original lineup. Other original members, such as Izzy Stradlin and drummers Steven Adler and Matt Sorum, were not part of this reunion14.

Health and Relationship Issues

Steven Adler has health issues and a difficult relationship with Axl Rose, which makes his involvement unlikely. Matt Sorum also has issues with Axl Rose that have ruled him out4.

Current Lineup Stability

The current lineup, which includes Axl Rose, Slash, Duff McKagan, along with Richard Fortus, Frank Ferrer, and Dizzy Reed, has been stable and successful since the reunion began in 2016. There has been no indication of significant changes to this lineup12.

Future Plans

Axl Rose has confirmed that he will be focusing on Guns N' Roses for their 2025 tour, with no mention of any changes to the current lineup that would include other original members5.

Given these points, it appears that while Axl Rose, Slash, and Duff McKagan have reconciled and are actively performing together, a full reunion of the original Guns N' Roses lineup is not anticipated.