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Is isolating Pakistan at the international stage the best step India can take after the Uri attacks on the diplomatic front?
Isolating Pakistan at the international stage, as suggested by Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi following the Uri attacks, is a complex and multifaceted strategy that may not be the most effective or sustainable approach for several reasons:
Historical Context and Effectiveness
Modi's vow to isolate Pakistan internationally was made in the context of significant tensions and terrorist attacks, such as the one on the Indian army base in Uri. However, this approach has not significantly altered the dynamics between the two countries. Despite India's efforts, Pakistan has maintained support from countries like China and continues to engage in international forums3.
Bilateral Relations and Dialogue
The current state of India-Pakistan relations is characterized by a "no peace-no war" scenario, with minimal bilateral engagement. Isolation efforts may further entrench this status quo, making it harder to initiate meaningful dialogue or cooperation. Recent high-level visits, such as Indian External Affairs Minister S. Jaishankar's visit to Islamabad, indicate that while there is some engagement in multilateral settings, bilateral talks remain elusive14.
Regional and Environmental Cooperation
There is a growing recognition that issues like climate change, heavy air pollution, and other environmental concerns could serve as catalysts for improving bilateral relations. Focusing on these shared challenges might offer a more constructive path forward compared to isolation, as it could foster cooperation and mutual benefit1.
Domestic and Strategic Considerations
Both India and Pakistan have domestic political and strategic imperatives that make it difficult to show weakness or concession. Isolation tactics may not address the underlying issues and could exacerbate tensions, making it harder to achieve any meaningful reconciliation14.
Alternative Approaches
Historically, confidence-building measures (CBMs) such as easing visa restrictions, restarting cricket matches, and reopening transportation networks have shown some promise in easing tensions. These approaches, while not resolving all issues, have helped in bringing the two sides closer in the past2.
In summary, isolating Pakistan at the international stage may not be the best step for India on the diplomatic front, as it could perpetuate a cycle of hostility and make meaningful dialogue more challenging. Instead, exploring areas of mutual interest and cooperation, such as environmental issues and regional challenges, might offer a more viable path to improving relations.