If there will be a war between India and Pakistan who will win?

In a hypothetical war between India and Pakistan, several factors suggest that India would have a significant advantage over Pakistan. Here are some key points from the various sources:

Military Personnel and Reserve Forces

India has a substantially larger active military personnel count, with approximately 1.2-1.4 million soldiers, compared to Pakistan's 654,00035. India also has a larger reserve force, with 960,000 personnel against Pakistan's 650,0005.

Defense Budget and Spending

India's defense budget is significantly higher than Pakistan's, with India allocating around $73.8 billion (13% of its budget) compared to Pakistan's $6.34 billion3.

Land Forces and Equipment

India has more tanks (4,614) compared to Pakistan (3,742), and India's tanks are more modern and technologically advanced, including the 3rd-generation Arjun and T-90S tanks5. India also has more armored personnel carriers and artillery pieces, giving it greater fire support capabilities12.

Air Force

India's air force is larger and more advanced, with 2,296 aircraft, including 606 fighter jets, compared to Pakistan's 1,434 aircraft and 387 fighter jets3. India's air force includes modern aircraft like the Sukhoi Su-30, which is considered highly capable, whereas Pakistan's fleet includes older models like the F-162.

Naval Power

India has a much stronger and larger navy, classified as a Blue-water navy capable of global operations, with two aircraft carriers and a fleet of 294 vessels. In contrast, Pakistan has a Green-water navy with no aircraft carriers and a significantly smaller fleet of 114 vessels3.

Nuclear Capabilities

Both countries possess nuclear weapons, but India has a slightly lower to similar number of nuclear warheads (130-140) compared to Pakistan (140-150)1. However, India's nuclear delivery systems, such as the Agni-V intercontinental ballistic missile, are more advanced and have better accuracy and range5.

Strategic Considerations

India's military strategy, including the "Cold Start" doctrine, aims to quickly penetrate Pakistani territory to deter the use of nuclear weapons by Pakistan. This strategy leverages India's superior conventional forces to achieve rapid gains before Pakistan can resort to nuclear options2.

Given these factors, in a conventional war scenario without the immediate use of nuclear weapons, India's superior military strength, advanced equipment, and larger defense budget would likely give it a significant advantage over Pakistan. However, the use of nuclear weapons by either side could drastically alter the outcome and lead to catastrophic consequences for both countries and the region as a whole24.